Herbert Jones Points - Player Prop Bet 10/23/2024

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Herbert Jones

NBA · Player Props

Herbert Jones

F · New Orleans Pelicans

Points

New Orleans Pelicans vs Chicago Bulls · Oct 23, 2024

Updated Oct 24, 2024 1:19 AM EST

Analysis

Herbert Jones Points Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (-103/-130).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 9.5 @ -109 before it was bet up to 11.5 @ -103.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Out of all players in the league, Herbert Jones lands in the 88th percentile for three-point effectiveness with a superb 39.6% rate since the start of last season.
Herbert Jones has played 30.8 minutes per game since the start of last season, seeing the court more than most players in the NBA: 79th percentile.
With respect to 3-point shots, the New Orleans Pelicans's impressive 37.2% rate of drained threes ranks 7th-strongest in the league since the start of last season.
Herbert Jones has made 87.0% of his foul shots since the start of last season, placing him in the 89th percentile among all players in the league.
The matchup vs. Chicago is a strong one for getting to the free-throw line; the opposition's starting PFs have attempted a whopping 5.4 foul shots per game this year when the Bulls are on the road (3rd-most in the league).

Favors Under

Among all players in the NBA, Herbert Jones comes in at the 96th percentile for personal fouls, totaling an enormous 3.0 fouls per game since the start of last season.
The Pelicans rank as the 7th-least aggressive offense in the league since the start of last season as it relates to shots from behind the three-point arc.
This year, the opposition's starting PFs have tallied 11.5 shot attempts per game (3rd-lowest in the league) against the Chicago Bulls, marking this as a tough matchup.
The New Orleans Pelicans will likely suffer a drop-off in possessions today from squaring off against the 6th-least up-tempo tempo offense in the league since the start of last season (the Bulls).

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