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Herbert Jones

Herbert Jones Points
Player Prop - 4/21/2024

Oklahoma City Thunder vs New Orleans Pelicans

Herbert Jones Points Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-125/+105).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 10.5 @ -118 before it was bet down to 9.5 @ +105.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Herbert Jones has successfully made 41.0% of his 3-point attempts on the road this year, placing him in the 85th percentile among all players in the league.

Herbert Jones has been on the court for 35.1 minutes per game over the last 15 games, 4.5 more than he's been on the court for over the course of the season.

The Pelicans check in as the 4th-highest scoring offense in the league over the last 5 games as the away team.

The New Orleans Pelicans will likely see a spike in opportunities in this contest from facing the 2nd-most up-tempo pace team in the league over the last 5 games (the Thunder).

Compared to last year's 73.1% mark, Herbert Jones's free-throw effectiveness has surged this year to 86.0%.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Herbert Jones has averaged 2.9 personal fouls per game on the road this year, ranking him in the 95th percentile -- among the NBA's most-whistled.

The matchup vs. the Oklahoma City Thunder is a difficult one for 3-pointers; the opposition's starting SFs have compiled the 2nd-lowest 3-point percentage in the NBA this year (25.5%).

The Pelicans have played at the 7th-most lethargic pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 20 games away from home.

The New Orleans Pelicans have been the worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 10 games while on the road (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate further opportunities for scoring and assists).

Herbert Jones will not possess the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing away from your home court tends to reduce stat production across the board.

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