Herbert Jones Points - Player Prop Bet 4/16/2024

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Herbert Jones

NBA · Player Props

Herbert Jones

F · New Orleans Pelicans

Points

New Orleans Pelicans vs Los Angeles Lakers · Apr 16, 2024

Updated Apr 16, 2024 11:32 PM EST

Analysis

Herbert Jones Points Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (-125/-109).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 10.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 10.5 @ -125.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Herbert Jones has successfully made 2.0 treys per game over the last 5 games at home, 0.6 more than he's made from beyond the arc in all games this year with the home court advantage.
Herbert Jones has averaged 36.8 minutes per game over the last 5 games on his home court, 6.2 higher than he's averaged in all games this season at home.
The New Orleans Pelicans check in as the 9th-most efficient shooting team in the league this year.
This year, opposing starting SFs have tallied 5.8 three attempts per game (highest in the league) vs. the Los Angeles Lakers, branding this as a good matchup.
The Los Angeles Lakers have played at the most up-tempo pace in the league over the last 20 games, which ought to lead to increased plays for the New Orleans Pelicans.

Favors Under

Among all players in the league, Herbert Jones ranks in the 96th percentile for personal fouls, registering a whopping 3.0 fouls per game this year.
The Pelicans have played at the 6th-most sluggish tempo in the NBA over the last 5 games as the home team.
The Pelicans check in as the 3rd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce additional chances for scoring and assists).
Over the last 15 games, the opposing team's starting SFs have attempted 1.9 free throws per game (lowest in the NBA) against the Los Angeles Lakers, struggling to get to the foul line.

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