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Herbert Jones

Herbert Jones Points
Player Prop - 4/14/2024

New Orleans Pelicans vs Los Angeles Lakers

Herbert Jones Points Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 8.5 @ +100 before it was bet down to 8.5 @ -110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

In contrast to last season's 0.9 rate, Herbert Jones's 3-point shots made have risen this season to 1.5 per game.

Herbert Jones has averaged 37.8 minutes per game over the last 5 games while at home, 7.2 more than he's averaged over the course of the season at home.

The matchup vs. the Los Angeles Lakers is a strong one for shot attempts from downtown; opposing starting SFs have totaled the most three attempts per game in the league this year (5.8).

The Lakers have played at the speediest pace in the league over the last 20 games, which ought to lead to increased plays for the Pelicans.

The New Orleans Pelicans check in as the 9th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 25 games as the home team (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce additional chances for scoring and assists).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Among all players in the league, Herbert Jones places in the 96th percentile for personal fouls, posting an enormous 3.0 fouls per game this year.

The 6th-least up-tempo tempo home team in the league over the last 5 games has been the New Orleans Pelicans.

The matchup against the Los Angeles Lakers may be a tough one for getting to the free-throw line; the other team's starting SFs have attempted a mere 1.9 free throws per game over the last 15 games (least in the NBA).

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