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Herbert Jones

Herbert Jones Points
Player Prop - 4/11/2024

Sacramento Kings vs New Orleans Pelicans

Herbert Jones Points Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-110/-120).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 9.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 9.5 @ -120.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Among all players in the NBA, Herbert Jones places in the 86th percentile for three-point effectiveness with a terrific 39.7% rate this year.

Herbert Jones has played 36.8 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 6.4 higher than he's played in all games this year.

The matchup vs. Sacramento is a favorable one for shots from behind the three-point arc; when the Sacramento Kings have the home court advantage, the opposing team's starting SFs have totaled the 2nd-most 3-point attempts per game in the NBA this year (6.1).

The Pelicans rank as the 10th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create new chances for scoring and assists).

Herbert Jones has converted 100.0% of his foul shots over the last 5 games, 11.8% higher than he's made in all games this season.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Among all players in the NBA, Herbert Jones places in the 94th percentile for personal fouls, averaging an enormous 2.8 fouls per game away from home this year.

With respect to shots from behind the three-point arc, the 3rd-least aggressive team in the NBA as the away team over the last 20 games has been the Pelicans.

The New Orleans Pelicans have played at the 4th-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 10 games.

The Pelicans will likely see a decline in plays in this contest from facing the 2nd-most sluggish tempo home offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Kings).

Herbert Jones will not have the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing without the home court advantage usually lowers player performance for all stats.

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