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Herbert Jones

Herbert Jones Points
Player Prop - 4/7/2024

Phoenix Suns vs New Orleans Pelicans

Herbert Jones Points Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (-124/+102).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 11.5 @ -130 before it was bet down to 10.5 @ +102.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Out of all players in the NBA, Herbert Jones measures in the 90th percentile for three-point performance with an exceptional 40.5% rate this year.

Herbert Jones has averaged 37.8 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 7.5 higher than he's averaged over the course of the year.

The New Orleans Pelicans check in as the most efficient 3-point shooting team in the NBA over the last 25 games as the away team.

The matchup against Phoenix is a strong one for three-pointers; when the Phoenix Suns are on their home court, the opposing team's starting SFs have tallied the 10th-most 3-pointers per game in the league this year (1.9).

Herbert Jones has sunk 100.0% of his foul shots over the last 5 games, 12.3% more than he's sunk in all games this season.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Out of all players in the league, Herbert Jones ranks in the 94th percentile for personal fouls, logging a whopping 2.8 fouls per game away from his home court this year.

The New Orleans Pelicans have played at the 4th-most sluggish pace in the league over the last 5 games.

The Suns have played at the 7th-most sluggish pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games, which ought to reduce opportunities for the Pelicans.

The Pelicans rank as the worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games when playing away from home (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce additional chances for scoring and assists).

The matchup against the Phoenix Suns may be a hard one for getting to the free-throw line; the other team's starting SFs have attempted just 1.6 foul shots per game over the last 10 games (4th-least in the league).

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