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Herbert Jones

Herbert Jones Points
Player Prop - 4/1/2024

New Orleans Pelicans vs Phoenix Suns

Herbert Jones Points Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (-103/-130).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 12.5 @ -122 before it was bet down to 12.5 @ -130.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Herbert Jones has attempted 5.6 treys per game over the last 5 games, 2.0 more than he's attempted in all games this season.

Herbert Jones has tallied 36.4 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 6.4 more than he's tallied in all games this season.

The Pelicans check in as the 9th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 25 games on their home court (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce new opportunities for scoring and assists).

In comparison to last season's 73.1% clip, Herbert Jones's free-throw efficiency has jumped this season to 87.1%.

The matchup against Phoenix is a good one for getting to the foul line; the other team's starting SGs have attempted a massive 3.8 foul shots per game this year when the Suns are on the road (2nd-most in the NBA).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Herbert Jones has accumulated 2.9 personal fouls per game this year, putting him among the highest-fouling players in the NBA (96th percentile).

With respect to shooting, the Pelicans's subpar 107.2 points per game ranks 10th-weakest in the league over the last 5 games.

This year, opposing starting SGs have averaged 1.5 3-pointers per game (lowest in the league) against the Suns, labeling this as a difficult matchup.

The 9th-most sluggish pace offense in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the New Orleans Pelicans.

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