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Herbert Jones

Herbert Jones Points
Player Prop - 3/22/2024

Miami Heat vs New Orleans Pelicans

Herbert Jones Points Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-130/+100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 9.5 @ -130 before it was bet up to 9.5 @ -130.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Herbert Jones has sunk 58.4% of his field goals over the last 15 games on the road, 5.8% more than he's sunk overall this season away from home.

Among all players in the NBA, Herbert Jones rates in the 91st percentile for three-point ability with an excellent 41.1% rate this year.

Herbert Jones has averaged 29.5 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-used players in the league: 78th percentile.

As it relates to shooting, the Pelicans's fantastic 117.7 points per game as the road team places 7th-highest in the league over the last 25 games.

This year, the other team's starting SGs have averaged 6.3 3-point attempts per game (highest in the league) against the Miami Heat, resulting in a favorable matchup.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Herbert Jones has accumulated 2.8 personal fouls per game away from home this year, putting him in the 93rd percentile -- among the league's highest-fouling.

The Pelicans have played at the 6th-slowest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 20 games as the road team.

The Miami Heat have played at the 3rd-slowest pace in the league this year, which should lead to fewer possessions for the Pelicans.

The Pelicans have been the 5th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce extra opportunities for scoring and assists).

Herbert Jones should see a decline in output in all stat categories due to being on the road in this contest.

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