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Herbert Jones

Herbert Jones Points
Player Prop - 1/26/2024

New Orleans Pelicans vs Oklahoma City Thunder

Herbert Jones Points Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 9.5 @ -125 before it was bet up to 10.5 @ -120.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Herbert Jones has made 63.7% of his shots from downtown over the last 10 games, 25.8% more than he's made from beyond the arc in all games this year.

The New Orleans Pelicans are expected to see a rise in opportunities in this game from being pitted against the 9th-quickest tempo offense in the league this year (the Oklahoma City Thunder).

Offensive rebounds save possession and result in additional chances for scoring and assists, and the New Orleans Pelicans grade out 12thbest in in the NBA when playing at home with 13.6 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games.

Compared to last year's 73.1% mark, Herbert Jones's foul-shot proficiency has risen this year to 88.1%.

The matchup vs. Oklahoma is a strong one for drawing fouls; the opposition's starting PFs have attempted a massive 4.9 free throws per game this year when the Thunder are the visiting squad (24th-most in the NBA).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Herbert Jones has accumulated 2.8 personal fouls per game this year, ranking him as one of the highest-fouling players in the NBA (91st percentile).

With respect to shot attempts from beyond the arc, the 8th-least aggressive offense in the league this year has been the New Orleans Pelicans.

The matchup vs. Oklahoma is a difficult one for field goals; when the Oklahoma City Thunder are the visiting team, the opposition's starting SGs have put up the 15th-lowest Field Goal% in the league this year (34.7%).

The New Orleans Pelicans have played at the 6th-most lethargic pace in the NBA over the last 15 games.

This year, opposing squads have captured 12.8 offensive boards per game (2nd-highest in the NBA) vs. the Oklahoma City Thunder (preserving possessions that can generate further chances for offense).

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