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Herbert Jones

Herbert Jones Points
Player Prop - 1/17/2024

New Orleans Pelicans vs Charlotte Hornets

Herbert Jones Points Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (-135/+105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 8.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 8.5 @ -135.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Herbert Jones has converted 56.4% of his 3-point shots over the last 10 games, 20.3% more than he's converted from three in all games this year.

This year, the opposing team's starting SGs have tallied 2.5 3-pointers per game (28th-most in the NBA) vs. the Charlotte Hornets, creating a strong matchup.

The Pelicans have been the 7th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 20 games at home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to new chances for scoring and assists).

Over the last 15 games, the other team has collected 8.9 offensive boards per game (fewest in the NBA) against the Charlotte Hornets (diminishing possessions that could otherwise result in additional opportunities for offense).

Herbert Jones has sunk 100.0% of his foul shot attempts over the last 5 games at home, 7.6% higher than he's converted over the course of the season while at home.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Herbert Jones has committed 2.9 personal fouls per game this year, placing him among the most foul-prone players in the league (92nd percentile).

The New Orleans Pelicans have been the 5th-lowest scoring offense in the NBA on their home court this year in terms of treys.

The most lethargic pace-of-play offense in the league over the last 10 games has been the Pelicans.

The Charlotte Hornets have played at the 4th-most sluggish pace in the league over the last 20 games, which ought to decrease possessions for the Pelicans.

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