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Herbert Jones

Herbert Jones Points
Player Prop - 12/26/2023

New Orleans Pelicans vs Memphis Grizzlies

Herbert Jones Points Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-120/-120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 8.5 @ -135 before it was bet up to 9.5 @ -120.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The New Orleans Pelicans have played at the 7th-fastest tempo in the league over the last 15 games with the home court advantage.

The New Orleans Pelicans are expected to see a spike in plays today from competing against the 6th-fastest pace road team in the NBA over the last 15 games (the Memphis Grizzlies).

Offensive rebounds maintain possession and result in additional opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Pelicans grade out 8thbest in in the NBA at home with 10.4 offensive boards per game over the last 15 games.

This year, opposing teams have come down with 10.6 offensive boards per game (9th-fewest in the league) vs. the Memphis Grizzlies (losing possessions that could otherwise create more opportunities for offense).

Herbert Jones has successfully made a terrific 88.2% of his foul shots this year, significantly more than his 73.1 mark last year.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Herbert Jones has averaged 3.2 personal fouls per game this year, putting him among the highest-fouling players in the league (96th percentile).

With respect to three-point attempts, the least aggressive offense in the league at home over the last 5 games has been the Pelicans.

The matchup vs. the Memphis Grizzlies is a difficult one for scoring; the other team's starting SGs have averaged the 15th-least buckets per game in the NBA this year (4.3).

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