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Herbert Jones

Herbert Jones Points
Player Prop - 12/23/2023

New Orleans Pelicans vs Houston Rockets

Herbert Jones Points Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (-114/-106).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Herbert Jones has tallied 30.0 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-utilized players in the NBA: 75th percentile.

The Pelicans have played at the 10th-quickest pace in the NBA over the last 20 games.

The Pelicans check in as the 10th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games as the home team (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to new chances for scoring and assists).

Among all players in the NBA, Herbert Jones comes in at the 80th percentile for free-throw performance when playing at home with a an outstanding 90.8% rate this year.

Herbert Jones should get a boost in performance across the board on account of controlling the home court advantage in this game.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Out of all players in the league, Herbert Jones rates in the 97th percentile for personal fouls, compiling a whopping 3.3 fouls per game this year.

The New Orleans Pelicans have been the least aggressive offense in the league over the last 5 games while on their home court when it comes to 3-point attempts.

Over the last 20 games, opposing starting SGs have compiled 12.6 points per game (15th-lowest in the league) vs. the Houston Rockets, identifying this as a tough matchup for offensive performance.

The Rockets have played at the 5th-most sluggish pace-of-play in the NBA away from their home city this year, which should lead to fewer possessions for the New Orleans Pelicans.

The Rockets have allowed the most offensive boards per game (13.8) in the NBA to opposing squads over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to additional chances for scoring and assists).

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