Herbert Jones Points - Player Prop Bet 12/19/2023

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Herbert Jones

NBA · Player Props

Herbert Jones

F · New Orleans Pelicans

Points

New Orleans Pelicans vs Memphis Grizzlies · Dec 19, 2023

Updated Dec 20, 2023 12:39 AM EST

Analysis

Herbert Jones Points Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-110/-110).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Herbert Jones has been on the court for 30.0 minutes per game this year, seeing the court more than most players in the league: 75th percentile.
The Pelicans check in as the 8th-highest scoring offense in the league over the last 20 games.
The Pelicans have played at the 7th-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games.
The New Orleans Pelicans are expected to see an increase in opportunities today from competing against the 7th-speediest pace-of-play visiting team in the NBA this year (the Memphis Grizzlies).
The Memphis Grizzlies have given up the 7th-least offensive rebounds per game (10.4) in the NBA to their opposition this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce extra chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Herbert Jones has averaged 3.4 personal fouls per game this year, placing him among the highest-fouling players in the NBA (97th percentile).
The New Orleans Pelicans check in as the 3rd-least aggressive offense in the league over the last 5 games playing at home with respect to three-point attempts.
This year when they are playing at home, the opposition's starting SFs have tallied 9.7 shot attempts per game (14th-fewest in the NBA) against the Grizzlies, creating a tough matchup.
Over the last 12 games, the opposing team's starting SFs have attempted 2.6 free throws per game (12th-fewest in the league) vs. the Grizzlies, struggling to draw fouls.

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