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Herbert Jones

Herbert Jones Points
Player Prop - 11/27/2023

Utah Jazz vs New Orleans Pelicans

Herbert Jones Points Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (-104/-118).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 10.5 @ +100 before it was bet up to 10.5 @ -104.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Herbert Jones has made 45.0% of his 3-point attempts over the last 5 games at home, 10.8% higher than he's sunk in all games this season playing at home.

The New Orleans Pelicans have played at the 5th-fastest pace-of-play in the league while on their home court this year.

The Jazz have played at the 9th-quickest tempo in the NBA over the last 8 games away from their home stadium, which should raise opportunities for the Pelicans.

The Pelicans rank as the 7th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 7 games while playing at home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide additional chances for scoring and assists).

In contrast to last year's 73.1% clip, Herbert Jones's foul-shot performance has surged this year to 85.2%.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Out of all players in the league, Herbert Jones slots into the 95th percentile for personal fouls, totaling a whopping 3.6 fouls per game this year.

When it comes to 3-point attempts, the least aggressive team in the league playing at home since the start of last season has been the Pelicans.

The matchup against Utah is a difficult one for 3-pointers; when the Utah Jazz are playing at home, the other team's starting SFs have put up the 12th-lowest 3-point percentage in the league since the start of last season (31.9%).

The matchup against the Jazz is a challenging one for getting to the foul line; opposing starting SFs have attempted a mere 2.9 free throws per game since the start of last season (6th-least in the league).

Herbert Jones figures to see a decline in output across the board as a result of playing away from hom in this matchup.

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