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Herbert Jones

Herbert Jones Points
Player Prop - 11/25/2023

Utah Jazz vs New Orleans Pelicans

Herbert Jones Points Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (-120/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 11.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 12.5 @ -120.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The matchup against Utah is a strong one for shot attempts from downtown; when the Utah Jazz are at home, the other team's starting PFs have tallied the 30th-most 3-point attempts per game in the NBA this year (7.1).

The New Orleans Pelicans have played at the 5th-speediest pace in the NBA as the visting team this year.

The Pelicans check in as the 7th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create new opportunities for scoring and assists).

Herbert Jones has successfully made a terrific 2.8 foul shots per game this year, quite a bit higher than his 1.9 rate last year.

The matchup vs. Utah is a good one for getting to the free-throw line; opposing starting PFs have attempted a colossal 5.4 free throws per game this year when the Utah Jazz are playing at home (28th-most in the NBA).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Out of all players in the NBA, Herbert Jones comes in at the 98th percentile for personal fouls, logging a whopping 3.8 fouls per game when playing on the road this year.

The Pelicans check in as the 8th-least aggressive offense in the league as the home team this year when it comes to three-point attempts.

While on their home court, the Utah Jazz have allowed the 6th-most offensive boards per game (11.3) in the league to their opposition since the start of last season (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create added chances for scoring and assists).

Herbert Jones will not receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing away from your home stadium generally worsens player production in all stat categories.

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