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Herbert Jones

Herbert Jones Points
Player Prop - 11/12/2023

New Orleans Pelicans vs Dallas Mavericks

Herbert Jones Points Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-115/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 9.5 @ -104 before it was bet up to 9.5 @ -115.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

This matchup is a difficult one for shot attempts from downtown; when the Mavericks have the home court advantage, opposing clubs have averaged the 9th-fewest 3-point attempts per game in the NBA against them this year (33.1).

The Mavericks have played at the 2nd-fastest pace-of-play in the league this year, which ought to increase opportunities for the Pelicans.

As a team, the Pelicans have been terrific at getting to the foul line on their home court: 10th-best in the NBA this year, drawing 24.4 free throws per game.

This matchup is a difficult one for getting to the free-throw line; opposing clubs have attempted a lowly 19.8 foul shots per game when the Dallas Mavericks have the home court advantage this year (3rd-least in the NBA).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Pelicans have played at the 6th-least up-tempo pace in the league this year.

The New Orleans Pelicans check in as the 5th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league while at home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore lead to fewer chances for scoring and assists).

The Dallas Mavericks have given up the 5th-most offensive rebounds per game (12.2) in the league to opposing teams this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to new chances for scoring and assists).

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