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Herbert Jones

Herbert Jones Points
Player Prop - 11/4/2023

New Orleans Pelicans vs Atlanta Hawks

Herbert Jones Points Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-118/-104).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 10.5 @ -130 before it was bet down to 9.5 @ -104.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Since the start of last season when they are the visiting squad, the opposition's starting SGs have averaged 14.7 field goal attempts per game (29th-highest in the NBA) vs. the Atlanta Hawks, resulting in a strong matchup.

The {OPP_TEAM} are expected to see an increase in plays in this game from being pitted against the 3rd-most up-tempo pace offense in the NBA this year (the Hawks).

Offensive rebounds continue possession and create further opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Pelicans grade out 6thbest in in the NBA with 11.6 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games.

The matchup against Atlanta is a strong one for getting to the foul line; the opposition's starting SGs have attempted a massive 3.6 free throws per game since the start of last season when the Hawks are at home (25th-most in the NBA).

Herbert Jones will enjoy the home court advantage in this game. Playing on your home court generally raises stat production across the board.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Out of all players in the league, Herbert Jones measures in the 97th percentile for personal fouls, logging a massive 3.3 fouls per game on the road since the start of last season.

The Pelicans check in as the 2nd-least aggressive offense in the NBA while on their home court since the start of last season when it comes to shots from behind the three-point arc.

Since the start of last season when they are on their home court, their opposition has snagged 10.6 offensive boards per game (10th-most in the league) vs. the Atlanta Hawks (saving possessions that can generate extra chances for offense).

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