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Herbert Jones

Herbert Jones Points
Player Prop - 11/2/2023

New Orleans Pelicans vs Detroit Pistons

Herbert Jones Points Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (+110/-140).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 9.5 @ -125 before it was bet up to 12.5 @ +110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The 10th-speediest tempo home team in the NBA this year has been the New Orleans Pelicans.

The Pistons have played at the 7th-speediest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games away from their home stadium, which should boost opportunities for the {OPP_TEAM}.

In terms of drawing fouls, the New Orleans Pelicans's remarkable 24.4 free throw attempts per game comes in as the 10th-best in the NBA since the start of last season.

The matchup vs. Detroit is a favorable one for drawing fouls; the opposing team's starting PFs have attempted a massive 3.6 foul shots per game since the start of last season when the Detroit Pistons are playing at home (25th-most in the league).

Herbert Jones will have the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing at home generally increases player production for all stats.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Herbert Jones has tallied 3.2 personal fouls per game since the start of last season, placing him among the most-whistled players in the league (97th percentile).

The New Orleans Pelicans check in as the 2nd-least aggressive offense in the league when playing away from home since the start of last season when it comes to 3-point attempts.

Since the start of last season when they have the home court advantage, the opposing team's starting PFs have totaled 1.1 3-pointers per game (15th-lowest in the NBA) against the Detroit Pistons, making this a difficult matchup.

While on the road, the Detroit Pistons have allowed the 6th-most offensive rebounds per game (11.1) in the league to opposing clubs since the start of last season (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide additional chances for scoring and assists).

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