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Herbert Jones

Herbert Jones Points
Player Prop - 4/9/2023

Minnesota Timberwolves vs New Orleans Pelicans

Herbert Jones Points Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 10.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 10.5 @ -115.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Herbert Jones has successfully made 58.6% of his three-point attempts over the last 10 games on the road, 22.2% higher than he's converted from beyond the arc in all games this year without the home court advantage.

Herbert Jones has tallied 33.8 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 4.9 more than he's tallied overall this year.

The New Orleans Pelicans rank as the 10th-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 10 games.

The matchup vs. the Timberwolves is a favorable one; they have allowed the 28th-most points per game in the league to the opposition's starting SGs over the last 20 games (22.3).

The Timberwolves have played at the 2nd-fastest pace-of-play in the NBA at home this year, which should lead to more possessions for the Pelicans.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Herbert Jones has committed 3.0 personal fouls per game while playing away from home this year, ranking him in the 93rd percentile -- among the NBA's most-whistled.

The New Orleans Pelicans have played at the 3rd-most sluggish pace in the league over the last 5 games.

The New Orleans Pelicans have been the 5th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 20 games while playing on the road (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore lead to fewer chances for scoring and assists).

The Timberwolves have given up the 4th-most offensive rebounds per game (11.3) in the NBA to the other team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to additional chances for scoring and assists).

The matchup vs. Minnesota is a difficult one for getting to the foul line; the other team's starting SGs have attempted a mere 2.6 free throws per game this year when the Timberwolves have the home court advantage (9th-least in the NBA).

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