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Herbert Jones

Herbert Jones Points
Player Prop - 3/21/2023

New Orleans Pelicans vs San Antonio Spurs

Herbert Jones Points Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (+102/-130).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 9.5 @ -128 before it was bet up to 10.5 @ +102.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Herbert Jones has sunk 64.1% of his field goals over the last 5 games, 15.5% more than he's made over the course of the season.

Herbert Jones has successfully made 39.8% of his three-point attempts over the last 10 games, 9.4% higher than he's sunk overall this season.

Herbert Jones has played 28.6 minutes per game this year, some of the highest playing time of any player in the NBA: 75th percentile.

The matchup vs. the Spurs is a good one for 3-pointers; opposing starting SGs have shot for the 30th-highest 3-point rate in the league this year (43.3%).

The Spurs have played at the fastest pace-of-play in the league over the last 20 games away from their home city, which ought to lead to more opportunities for the Pelicans.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Herbert Jones has tallied 3.3 personal fouls per game this year, ranking him as one of the most foul-whistled players in the NBA (98th percentile).

The New Orleans Pelicans rank as the lowest scoring offense in the league over the last 15 games at home.

The New Orleans Pelicans have played at the 3rd-slowest pace in the league over the last 10 games.

The Spurs have allowed the most offensive rebounds per game (14.0) in the NBA to the other team over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

The matchup vs. the Spurs may be a difficult one for drawing fouls; opposing starting SGs have attempted a mere 1.5 free throws per game over the last 5 games (13th-least in the league).

More Herbert Jones Player Props

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