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Herbert Jones

Herbert Jones Points
Player Prop - 3/17/2023

Houston Rockets vs New Orleans Pelicans

Herbert Jones Points Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (-110/-120).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 10.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 10.5 @ -120.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Herbert Jones has averaged 38.6 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 8.5 higher than he's averaged overall this year.

The Rockets have played at the fastest pace-of-play in the league at home this year, which ought to lead to increased plays for the Pelicans.

The New Orleans Pelicans check in as the best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce new chances for scoring and assists).

Herbert Jones has attempted 4.4 foul shots per game over the last 5 games, 2.2 higher than he's attempted over the course of the year.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The New Orleans Pelicans rank as the 8th-lowest scoring offense in the league without the home court advantage this year.

The matchup vs. the Rockets is a hard one for 3-pointers; the opposing team's starting SGs have tallied the 13th-least three-pointers per game in the league this year (1.9).

The New Orleans Pelicans have played at the 6th-slowest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games.

The Rockets have allowed the most offensive rebounds per game (12.2) in the league to opposing squads over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to new opportunities for scoring and assists).

The matchup vs. the Rockets may be a tough one for drawing fouls; the opposing team's starting SGs have attempted a mere 0.9 foul shots per game over the last 20 games (14th-least in the NBA).

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