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Herbert Jones

Herbert Jones Points
Player Prop - 2/27/2023

New Orleans Pelicans vs Orlando Magic

 
 
 
Herbert Jones Points Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (+102/-124).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 8.5 @ -125 before it was bet down to 8.5 @ -124.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Herbert Jones has successfully made 58.3% of his field goals over the last 5 games at home, 8.5% higher than he's converted overall this year when playing at home.
  • Herbert Jones has played 38.6 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 8.5 higher than he's played over the course of the season.
  • The Magic have played at the 2nd-speediest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 10 games without the home court advantage, which ought to boost opportunities for the Pelicans.
  • The New Orleans Pelicans rank as the best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create new chances for scoring and assists).
  • Herbert Jones has sunk 3.4 free throws per game over the last 5 games, 1.6 more than he's sunk overall this year.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Herbert Jones has been called for 3.1 personal fouls per game this year, making him one of the most highest-fouling players in the league (97th percentile).
  • The New Orleans Pelicans rank as the lowest scoring offense in the NBA this year in terms of 3-point shots.
  • The matchup vs. the Magic is a difficult one for three-point attempts; the opposing team's starting SFs have averaged the 12th-least three attempts per game in the NBA this year (4.6).
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have played at the 2nd-most lethargic pace in the league over the last 10 games when playing at home.
  • On the road, the Magic have allowed the 8th-most offensive rebounds per game (10.7) in the league to opposing teams this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide additional chances for scoring and assists).

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