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Herbert Jones

Herbert Jones Points
Player Prop - 2/23/2023

Toronto Raptors vs New Orleans Pelicans

Herbert Jones Points Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (+100/-130).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 8.5 @ -130 before it was bet up to 9.5 @ +100.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Herbert Jones has tallied 38.6 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 8.5 higher than he's tallied overall this year.

The matchup against the Raptors is a positive one for threes; the opposing team's starting SGs have shot for the 29th-highest 3-point percentage in the NBA this year (39.3%).

The New Orleans Pelicans rank as the best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create new opportunities for scoring and assists).

Herbert Jones has successfully made 3.4 foul shots per game over the last 5 games, 1.6 higher than he's put through the net over the course of the year.

The matchup vs. the Raptors may be a positive one for drawing fouls; the opposition's starting SGs have attempted a whopping 3.1 foul shots per game over the last 10 games (23rd-most in the NBA).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Herbert Jones has accumulated 3.0 personal fouls per game when playing away from home this year, ranking in the 95th percentile -- among the league's highest-fouling.

The New Orleans Pelicans check in as the 8th-lowest scoring offense in the league while on the road this year.

The New Orleans Pelicans have played at the 6th-slowest pace in the NBA over the last 5 games.

The Raptors have played at the 2nd-slowest pace in the league over the last 5 games, which ought to lead to decreased possessions for the Pelicans.

Herbert Jones will not have the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing without the home court advantage tends to worsens stat production across the board.

More Herbert Jones Player Props

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