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Herbert Jones

Herbert Jones Points
Player Prop - 2/10/2023

New Orleans Pelicans vs Cleveland Cavaliers

Herbert Jones Points Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-102/-120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 9.5 @ -102 before it was bet up to 9.5 @ -102.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Herbert Jones has played 36.6 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 8.3 more than he's played in all games this season.

The matchup against Ochai Agbaji is a favorable one; he has given up an enormous 20.7 points per game away from his home court when guarding opposing starting SGs this year (100th percentile).

The New Orleans Pelicans have been the 6th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 15 games when playing at home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide additional chances for scoring and assists).

The matchup against Ochai Agbaji is a strong one for getting to the foul line; when Agbaji is on the road opposing starting SGs this year, they have attempted an enormous 4.7 free throws per game (100th percentile).

Herbert Jones will enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing at home generally increases player production in all stat categories.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Herbert Jones has accumulated 3.4 personal fouls per game this year, ranking him as one of the most foul-whistled players in the league (98th percentile).

The New Orleans Pelicans check in as the 2nd-least aggressive offense in the NBA this year in terms of attempts from downtown.

The New Orleans Pelicans have played at the 7th-most sluggish pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 15 games with the home court advantage.

The Cavaliers have played at the most sluggish pace in the NBA this year, which should decrease possessions for the Pelicans.

Herbert Jones has converted a mere 70.4% of his free throw attempts this year, significantly less than his 82.0 mark last year.

More Herbert Jones Player Props

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