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Herbert Jones

Herbert Jones Points
Player Prop - 2/7/2023

New Orleans Pelicans vs Atlanta Hawks

Herbert Jones Points Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-114/-106).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 9.5 @ -113 before it was bet up to 9.5 @ -114.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

This matchup is a strong one for threes; opposing teams have shot for the 2nd-highest three percentage in the NBA over the last 10 games while playing away from home (32.6%).

The New Orleans Pelicans have played at the 10th-quickest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games.

The Hawks have played at the 8th-most up-tempo pace in the NBA over the last 25 games away from their home stadium, which ought to increase opportunities for the Pelicans.

The New Orleans Pelicans have been the 7th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 15 games when playing at home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce additional chances for scoring and assists).

Herbert Jones has converted 100.0% of his foul shot attempts over the last 5 games at home, 28.0% more than he's sunk in all games this season playing at home.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Herbert Jones has tallied 3.3 personal fouls per game this year, placing him among the most foul-prone players in the NBA (97th percentile).

The New Orleans Pelicans rank as the 2nd-least aggressive offense in the league this year when it comes to three-point attempts.

The matchup vs. the Hawks is a tough one for three-pointers; opposing starting SGs have tallied the 2nd-least three-point shots per game in the NBA this year (1.7).

When playing away from home, the Hawks have allowed the 2nd-least offensive rebounds per game (12.8) in the NBA to opposing squads over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce extra opportunities for scoring and assists).

This matchup is a difficult one for getting to the foul line; their opposition have attempted a measly 25.9 free throws per game when the Hawks are away from home this year (4th-least in the NBA).

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