Herbert Jones Points - Player Prop Bet 1/28/2023

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NBA · Player Props

Herbert Jones

F · New Orleans Pelicans

Points

New Orleans Pelicans vs Washington Wizards · Jan 28, 2023

Updated Apr 7, 2023 2:41 PM EST

Analysis

Herbert Jones Points Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (-115/-115).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Herbert Jones has made 53.9% of his shot attempts from the field over the last 5 games, 7.4% more than he's converted over the course of the year.
Herbert Jones has successfully made 100.0% of his free throws over the last 5 games at home, 30.3% higher than he's put through the hoop over the course of the year at home.
The New Orleans Pelicans have been the 6th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 10 games while playing at home (which also provide new chances for scoring and assists).
The matchup vs. the Wizards may be a strong one for getting to the foul line; opposing teams have attempted a massive 21.0 foul shots per game over the last 10 games without the home court advantage (2nd-most in the league).
The matchup vs. the Wizards is a strong one for three-point attempts; opposing squads have averaged the 4th-most three attempts per game in the NBA over the last 20 games (31.6).

Favors Under

Herbert Jones has averaged 3.3 personal fouls per game this year, placing him among the most-whistled players in the NBA (97th percentile).
The Wizards have given up the least offensive rebounds per game (14.2) in the league to opposing squads over the last 5 games without the home court advantage (which also reduces additional chances for scoring and assists).
The New Orleans Pelicans have been the 4th-least aggressive offense in the NBA this year as it relates to 3-point attempts.
The New Orleans Pelicans have played at the 5th-slowest pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games while playing at home.
The matchup vs. the Wizards is a tough one; they have given up the 5th-least points per game in the NBA to the opposing team's starting SGs this year (15.4).