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Herbert Jones

Herbert Jones Points
Player Prop - 1/24/2023

New Orleans Pelicans vs Denver Nuggets

Herbert Jones Points Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (-118/-104).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 10.5 @ +100 before it was bet up to 10.5 @ -118.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Herbert Jones has made 57.0% of his shots from the field over the last 5 games, 9.4% more than he's converted over the course of the year.

Herbert Jones has successfully made 50.2% of his shots from downtown over the last 10 games at home, 11.6% higher than he's converted over the course of the year while at home.

The New Orleans Pelicans rank as the 9th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 10 games when playing at home (which can also create additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

While on the road, the Nuggets have allowed the 4th-most offensive rebounds per game (9.5) in the NBA to their opposition this year (which also create added chances for scoring and assists).

Herbert Jones will hold the home court advantage in this contest. Playing in your home city generally boosts stat production in all stat categories.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Herbert Jones has committed 3.3 personal fouls per game this year, putting him among the most-whistled players in the NBA (97th percentile).

The matchup against the Nuggets is a tough one; when playing away from home they have allowed the 10th-least points per game in the NBA to opposing teams this year (117.7).

The New Orleans Pelicans have been the 4th-least aggressive offense in the NBA this year when it comes to attempts from downtown.

The New Orleans Pelicans have played at the 10th-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games while on their home court.

The Pelicans have played at the 5th-most lethargic pace-of-play in the league over the last 15 games while traveling, which ought to reduce possessions for the Nuggets.

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