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Herbert Jones

Herbert Jones Points
Player Prop - 1/24/2023

New Orleans Pelicans vs Denver Nuggets

 
 
 
Herbert Jones Points Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (-118/-104).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 10.5 @ +100 before it was bet up to 10.5 @ -118.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Herbert Jones has made 57.0% of his shots from the field over the last 5 games, 9.4% more than he's converted over the course of the year.
  • Herbert Jones has successfully made 50.2% of his shots from downtown over the last 10 games at home, 11.6% higher than he's converted over the course of the year while at home.
  • The New Orleans Pelicans rank as the 9th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 10 games when playing at home (which can also create additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
  • While on the road, the Nuggets have allowed the 4th-most offensive rebounds per game (9.5) in the NBA to their opposition this year (which also create added chances for scoring and assists).
  • Herbert Jones will hold the home court advantage in this contest. Playing in your home city generally boosts stat production in all stat categories.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Herbert Jones has committed 3.3 personal fouls per game this year, putting him among the most-whistled players in the NBA (97th percentile).
  • The matchup against the Nuggets is a tough one; when playing away from home they have allowed the 10th-least points per game in the NBA to opposing teams this year (117.7).
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have been the 4th-least aggressive offense in the NBA this year when it comes to attempts from downtown.
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have played at the 10th-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games while on their home court.
  • The Pelicans have played at the 5th-most lethargic pace-of-play in the league over the last 15 games while traveling, which ought to reduce possessions for the Nuggets.

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