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Herbert Jones

Herbert Jones Points
Player Prop - 1/22/2023

Miami Heat vs New Orleans Pelicans

Herbert Jones Points Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-135/+100).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Herbert Jones has made 70.8% of his attempts from downtown over the last 5 games, 35.9% higher than he's converted from downtown over the course of the season.

The New Orleans Pelicans rank as the 7th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league while on the road this year (which also produce new chances for scoring and assists).

The New Orleans Pelicans have played at the 6th-most up-tempo pace in the NBA while playing on the road this year.

The Heat have allowed the most offensive rebounds per game (8.8) in the NBA to opposing clubs this year (which can also lead to added opportunities for scoring and assists).

The matchup vs. the Heat is a favorable one for drawing fouls; their opposition have attempted a colossal 18.2 foul shots per game while playing at home this year (most in the league).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Herbert Jones has made a measly 73.1% of his free throws this season, significantly less than his 82.0 mark last season.

Herbert Jones has tallied 3.3 personal fouls per game while playing on the road this year, ranking in the 96th percentile -- among the league's most foul-prone.

The matchup vs. the Heat is a hard one for threes; when playing at home, opposing clubs have tallied the least shots from behind the three-point arc per game in the NBA this year (14.2).

The New Orleans Pelicans rank as the 3rd-least aggressive offense in the NBA when playing on the road this year as it relates to three-point attempts.

The Pelicans have played at the 2nd-most lethargic pace in the league this year with the home court advantage, which ought to decrease opportunities for the Heat.

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