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Herbert Jones

Herbert Jones Made 3 Point Shots
Player Prop - 1/1/2025

Miami Heat vs New Orleans Pelicans

Herbert Jones Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+170/-235).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Out of all players in the league, Herbert Jones places in the 81st percentile for playing time, putting up an enormous 31.3 minutes per game when playing on the road this year.

The matchup vs. the Heat is a favorable one for shot attempts from downtown; opposing starting SFs have tallied the 5th-most three attempts per game in the NBA over the last 10 games (5.5).

The rate of shots from behind the three-point arc scored against Jimmy Butler has been remarkably high (46.0%) when defending other starting SFs this year (100th percentile).

The 6th-quickest tempo visiting team in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Pelicans.

The Pelicans have been the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games while on the road (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Herbert Jones has sunk just 26.0% of his 3-pointers this season, a sizeable decrease from his 39.6 rate last season.

Among all players in the league, Herbert Jones ranks in the 84th percentile for personal fouls, posting a massive 2.5 fouls per game while playing away from home this year.

As it relates to 3-pointers, the New Orleans Pelicans's lackluster 9.9 sunk threes per game when playing on the road comes in as the worst in the NBA this year.

The Pelicans are expected to experience a decrease in possessions today from being pitted against the 2nd-most lethargic pace home offense in the NBA this year (the Heat).

Herbert Jones will not enjoy the home court advantage in this game. Playing away from your home court tends to reduce player production for all stats.

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