Herbert Jones Assists - Player Prop Bet 3/28/2024

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Herbert Jones

NBA · Player Props

Herbert Jones

F · New Orleans Pelicans

Assists

New Orleans Pelicans vs Milwaukee Bucks · Mar 28, 2024

Updated Mar 28, 2024 8:51 PM EST

Analysis

Herbert Jones Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (+159/-224).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ -169 before it was bet up to 3.5 @ +159.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Herbert Jones has totaled 3.8 assists per game over the last 5 games when playing at home, 1.1 higher than he's totaled over the course of the year at home.
Herbert Jones has tallied 34.2 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 4.5 more than he's tallied overall this season.
The Pelicans will likely see an increase in opportunities in this contest from squaring off against the 5th-most up-tempo pace-of-play team in the NBA this year (the Milwaukee Bucks).
The Pelicans rank as the 7th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 25 games when playing at home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce additional chances for scoring and assists).
Herbert Jones will hold the home court advantage in this game. Playing in your home stadium usually improves player production in all stat categories.

Favors Under

Among all players in the NBA, Herbert Jones comes in at the 96th percentile for personal fouls, totaling a massive 2.9 fouls per game this year.
The 9th-least up-tempo pace-of-play offense in the league over the last 10 games has been the New Orleans Pelicans.

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