Herbert Jones Assists - Player Prop Bet 12/31/2023

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Herbert Jones

NBA · Player Props

Herbert Jones

F · New Orleans Pelicans

Assists

New Orleans Pelicans vs Los Angeles Lakers · Dec 31, 2023

Updated Jan 1, 2024 12:03 AM UTC

Analysis

Herbert Jones Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+120/-152).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 2.5 @ -146 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ -152.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Out of all players in the league, Herbert Jones rates in the 75th percentile for playing time, putting up an enormous 29.7 minutes per game this year.
The Pelicans are expected to get a boost in possessions in this game from squaring off against the 4th-speediest tempo visiting team in the NBA over the last 10 games (the Lakers).
Herbert Jones will enjoy the home court advantage in this game. Playing on your home court generally raises player performance in all stat categories.

Favors Under

Out of all players in the NBA, Herbert Jones rates in the 96th percentile for personal fouls, logging a whopping 3.1 fouls per game this year.
The New Orleans Pelicans have played at the slowest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games.
Without the home court advantage, the Lakers have allowed the 9th-most offensive boards per game (11.1) in the NBA to opposing clubs over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create added opportunities for scoring and assists).

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