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Haywood Highsmith

Haywood Highsmith Points
Player Prop - 1/6/2025

Sacramento Kings vs Miami Heat

Haywood Highsmith Points Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (-103/-129).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 5.5 @ -118 before it was bet down to 5.5 @ -129.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Haywood Highsmith has converted 53.9% of his shots from the field without the home court advantage this year, ranking him in the 84th percentile among all players in the league.

The Miami Heat check in as the 10th-most efficient 3-point shooting team in the league this year.

This year when they are the visiting squad, the opposing team's starting SFs have averaged 6.1 3-point attempts per game (2nd-highest in the NBA) vs. the Sacramento Kings, marking this as a strong matchup.

The Sacramento Kings have played at the 9th-most up-tempo tempo in the NBA over the last 15 games, which ought to lead to increased opportunities for the Heat.

Haywood Highsmith has converted 100.0% of his foul shot attempts over the last 10 games on the road, 20.8% higher than he's put through the net in all games this season when playing on the road.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Heat have played at the 3rd-most lethargic pace in the league over the last 20 games.

The Heat check in as the worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore lead to fewer opportunities for scoring and assists).

Over the last 21 games when they are the visiting team, opposing clubs have nabbed 10.2 offensive boards per game (30th-most in the league) against the Sacramento Kings (lengthening possessions that can create bonus chances for offense).

Haywood Highsmith will likely suffer a drop-off in efficiency in all stat categories due to being on the road in this matchup.

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