Haywood Highsmith Points - Player Prop Bet 2/13/2024

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Haywood Highsmith

NBA · Player Props

Haywood Highsmith

F · Miami Heat

Points

Milwaukee Bucks vs Miami Heat · Feb 13, 2024

Updated Feb 14, 2024 3:52 AM UTC

Analysis

Haywood Highsmith Points Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-130/-100).

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Heat are expected to see a rise in possessions today from squaring off against the 4th-quickest pace home team in the league this year (the Milwaukee Bucks).
The Bucks have allowed the 7th-least offensive rebounds per game (9.4) in the league to opposing squads over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
Haywood Highsmith has sunk 88.9% of his foul shots over the last 15 games, 10.1% higher than he's sunk overall this year.

Favors Under

This year, opposing teams have tallied 44.1 field goals per game (8th-highest in the NBA) vs. the Bucks, labeling this as a favorable matchup.
The Heat have played at the most lethargic pace in the NBA over the last 20 games as the road team.
The Heat check in as the 4th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA without the home court advantage this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
Over the last 5 games when they are on the road, opposing teams have attempted 25.8 free throws per game (2nd-most in the league) against the Bucks, finding it easy to get to the charity stripe.
Haywood Highsmith will not enjoy the home court advantage in this game. Playing without the home court advantage usually decreases player performance in all facets of the game.

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