Haywood Highsmith Points - Player Prop Bet 1/24/2024

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Haywood Highsmith

NBA · Player Props

Haywood Highsmith

F · Miami Heat

Points

Miami Heat vs Memphis Grizzlies · Jan 24, 2024

Updated Jan 25, 2024 12:44 AM EST

Analysis

Haywood Highsmith Points Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-138/+112).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Compared to last year's 1.7 clip, Haywood Highsmith's shot attempts from downtown have increased this year to 2.9 per game.
Haywood Highsmith has averaged 24.8 minutes per game over the last 5 games while at home, 5.7 higher than he's averaged overall this year at home.
With respect to 3-point shots, the Heat's outstanding 40.4% rate of made threes while playing at home comes in as the 2nd-most in the league this year.
This year when they are on their home court, the opposing team's starting PFs have averaged 6.5 3-point attempts per game (30th-most in the league) against the Memphis Grizzlies, marking this as a good matchup.
The Miami Heat are expected to see a rise in plays in this game from competing against the 10th-fastest pace-of-play road offense in the league this year (the Grizzlies).

Favors Under

Compared to last year's 46.1% clip, Haywood Highsmith's field goal ability has dropped this year to 38.5%.
The 2nd-most sluggish tempo offense in the league this year has been the Miami Heat.
The Miami Heat check in as the 6th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce extra opportunities for scoring and assists).

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