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Haywood Highsmith

Haywood Highsmith Points
Player Prop - 11/6/2023

Miami Heat vs Los Angeles Lakers

Haywood Highsmith Points Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (-108/-120).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 5.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 5.5 @ -120.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

In terms of shots from downtown, the Miami Heat's terrific 40.1% rate of sunk threes settles in as the 5th-strongest in the NBA over the last 5 games.

Since the start of last season, opposing clubs have shot 34.5% on 3-pointers (3rd-worst in the NBA) against the Los Angeles Lakers, marking this as a tough matchup.

The matchup against the Los Angeles Lakers is a positive one for shot attempts from the field; the opposing team's starting PFs have tallied the 26th-most shot attempts per game in the league since the start of last season (12.2).

The 10th-most up-tempo tempo team in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Heat.

Haywood Highsmith ought to see an increase in efficiency across the board as a result of controlling the home court advantage in this matchup.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Among all players in the NBA, Haywood Highsmith places in the 15th percentile, tallying a lowly 4.2 points per game while on the road since the start of last season.

The Heat check in as the 7th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league without the home court advantage since the start of last season (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore lead to fewer opportunities for scoring and assists).

On their home court, the Lakers have given up the 4th-most offensive rebounds per game (11.2) in the NBA to their opposition since the start of last season (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide new chances for scoring and assists).

Haywood Highsmith has converted 0.2 foul shots per game playing at home since the start of last season, ranking him in the 4th percentile out of all players in the league.

Since the start of last season when they have the home court advantage, the opposing team's starting PFs have attempted 2.7 free throws per game (14th-lowest in the NBA) vs. the Lakers, making it tough to get to the foul line.

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