Haywood Highsmith Points - Player Prop Bet 1/14/2023

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Haywood Highsmith

NBA · Player Props

Haywood Highsmith

F · Miami Heat

Points

Miami Heat vs Milwaukee Bucks · Jan 14, 2023

Updated Apr 7, 2023 2:41 PM EST

Analysis

Haywood Highsmith Points Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (-108/-112).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 5.5 @ -106 before it was bet up to 5.5 @ -108.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Haywood Highsmith has made an impressive 41.7% of his free throws this season, quite a bit more than his 33.3 rate last season.
The Miami Heat rank as the 8th-most aggressive offense in the NBA this year in terms of attempts from downtown.
The matchup vs. the Bucks is a good one for getting to the free throw line; the other team have attempted an enormous 20.8 free throws per game away from his home court this year (2nd-most in the league).
The matchup against the Bucks is a positive one for 3-pointers; away from their home court, their opposition have shot for the highest three percentage in the league this year (32.4%).
Haywood Highsmith will have the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing on your home court generally boosts stat production across the board.

Favors Under

Haywood Highsmith has converted a lowly 25.0% of his treys this year, a significant dropoff from his 34.3 rate last year.
Haywood Highsmith has been called for 2.6 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 1.1 more than he's been called for over the course of the year.
The Miami Heat check in as the lowest scoring offense in the league this year.
The Miami Heat have played at the 3rd-most sluggish pace-of-play in the NBA this year.
The matchup vs. the Bucks is a difficult one for attempts from beyond the arc; the other team's starting SFs have tallied the 2nd-least 3-point attempts per game in the NBA since the start of last season (4.2).

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