Haywood Highsmith Made 3 Point Shots - Player Prop Bet 12/28/2023

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Haywood Highsmith

NBA · Player Props

Haywood Highsmith

F · Miami Heat

Made 3 Point Shots

Golden State Warriors vs Miami Heat · Dec 28, 2023

Updated Dec 29, 2023 3:04 AM EST

Analysis

Haywood Highsmith Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+167/-222).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 1.5 @ -213 before it was bet down to 1.5 @ -222.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Haywood Highsmith has converted 59.6% of his shots from behind the three-point arc over the last 5 games on the road, 20.8% more than he's made from three in all games this year when playing on the road.
With respect to three-point shots, the Miami Heat's stellar 39.8% rate of successful threes measures as the strongest in the NBA this year.
The matchup against the Golden State Warriors is a positive one for 3-point attempts; the other team's starting PFs have totaled the 27th-most 3-point attempts per game in the league over the last 10 games (5.7).

Favors Under

The most lethargic pace-of-play road team in the league over the last 10 games has been the Miami Heat.
The Heat are expected to see a decline in possessions in this contest from facing the 10th-least up-tempo pace home offense in the league over the last 10 games (the Warriors).
Offensive rebounds retain possession and generate bonus chances for scoring and assists, but the Miami Heat grade out 2ndworst in in the NBA with a mere 9.4 offensive rebounds per game over the last 20 games.
When playing at home, the Golden State Warriors have allowed the 4th-most offensive rebounds per game (12.1) in the NBA to opposing teams over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create new opportunities for scoring and assists).
Haywood Highsmith will not enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing without the home court advantage usually decreases player performance in all facets of the game.

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