Haywood Highsmith Made 3 Point Shots - Player Prop Bet 11/30/2023

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NBA · Player Props

Haywood Highsmith

F · Miami Heat

Made 3 Point Shots

Miami Heat vs Indiana Pacers · Nov 30, 2023

Updated Dec 1, 2023 1:43 AM EST

Analysis

Haywood Highsmith Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-200/+154).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ +165 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ +154.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Relative to last season's 30.2% clip, Haywood Highsmith's three-point effectiveness has risen this season to 38.9%.
Relative to last year's 15.2 clip, Haywood Highsmith's playing time has spiked this year to 23.8 minutes per game.
The Miami Heat have been the 4th-most efficient 3-point shooting team in the NBA while at home this year.
The Indiana Pacers have played at the most up-tempo tempo in the NBA at home this year, which ought to increase possessions for the Heat.
Haywood Highsmith figures to get a boost in production in all stat categories considering having the home court advantage in this contest.

Favors Under

Out of all players in the NBA, Haywood Highsmith measures in the 78th percentile for technical fouls, tallying a massive 0.1 fouls per game on the road this year.
This year when they are the visiting squad, the other team's starting PFs have tallied 2.2 3-point attempts per game (15th-lowest in the NBA) against the Indiana Pacers, marking this as a hard matchup.
The Miami Heat have played at the 3rd-most sluggish pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 10 games on their home court.
The Miami Heat check in as the 9th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league while playing away from home since the start of last season (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate further opportunities for scoring and assists).
This year when they are away from home, opposing teams have collected 13.8 offensive boards per game (highest in the league) vs. the Pacers (lengthening possessions that can spark further chances for offense).