Harrison Barnes Points - Player Prop Bet 4/2/2025

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Harrison Barnes

NBA · Player Props

Harrison Barnes

F · San Antonio Spurs

Points

Denver Nuggets vs San Antonio Spurs · Apr 2, 2025

Updated Apr 3, 2025 3:59 AM UTC

Analysis

Harrison Barnes Points Prop is currently Over/Under 15.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 11.5 @ -130 before it was bet up to 15.5 @ -115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Harrison Barnes has converted 2.1 treys per game over the last 15 games on the road, 0.8 higher than he's made from downtown overall this year without the home court advantage.
Out of all players in the NBA, Harrison Barnes lands in the 18th percentile for personal fouls, putting up a measly 0.9 fouls per game this year.
The 10th-most up-tempo tempo away team in the NBA over the last 20 games has been the San Antonio Spurs.
The San Antonio Spurs are expected to see a spike in plays today from squaring off against the 5th-speediest tempo team in the NBA this year (the Denver Nuggets).
Offensive rebounds preserve possession and lead to added chances for scoring and assists, and the Spurs rank 3rd-best in in the NBA without the home court advantage with 13.6 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games.

Favors Under

In regard to scoring, the San Antonio Spurs's lackluster 111.2 points per game as the road team places 8th-fewest in the NBA over the last 10 games.
The matchup vs. the Denver Nuggets is a difficult one for shot attempts from beyond the arc; the opposing team's starting PFs have averaged the 4th-least 3-point attempts per game in the NBA this year (3.7).
The matchup against the Denver Nuggets is a tough one for getting to the foul line; the opposition's starting PFs have attempted a lowly 2.6 free throws per game this year (least in the league).
Harrison Barnes will not have the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing while traveling tends to lower player production in all facets of the game.

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