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Harrison Barnes

Harrison Barnes Points
Player Prop - 1/27/2024

Dallas Mavericks vs Sacramento Kings

Harrison Barnes Points Prop is currently Over/Under 14.5 (-105/-125).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 15.5 @ -120 before it was bet down to 14.5 @ -125.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Harrison Barnes has made 2.8 shots from downtown per game over the last 5 games, 0.9 more than he's converted from 3-point range over the course of the season.

The 6th-quickest tempo offense in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Sacramento Kings.

The Kings check in as the 5th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games while playing away from home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create new chances for scoring and assists).

Harrison Barnes has sunk 100.0% of his foul shots over the last 5 games, 17.3% higher than he's put through the hoop over the course of the year.

The matchup against Dallas may be a favorable one for getting to the charity stripe; the opposing team's starting SFs have attempted a massive 3.5 foul shots per game over the last 17 games when the Dallas Mavericks are playing at home (23rd-most in the NBA).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

This year when they are the visiting squad, the opposing team's starting SFs have tallied 0.8 threes per game (15th-fewest in the NBA) vs. the Mavericks, creating a hard matchup.

The Sacramento Kings are expected to see a decline in possessions in this contest from competing against the 10th-most sluggish pace home offense in the league over the last 5 games (the Mavericks).

The Dallas Mavericks have given up the 3rd-most offensive boards per game (11.6) in the NBA to opposing clubs this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

As a team, the Kings have been poor at drawing fouls recently: 2nd-worst in the league over the last 15 games away from their home court, totaling a mere 19.8 foul shots per game.

Harrison Barnes should see a decline in production in all facets of the game on account of playing away from home in this game.

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