Guerschon Yabusele Points - Player Prop Bet 3/29/2025

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Guerschon Yabusele

NBA · Player Props

Guerschon Yabusele

F · Philadelphia 76ers

Points

Philadelphia 76ers vs Miami Heat · Mar 29, 2025

Updated Mar 30, 2025 3:59 AM EST

Analysis

Guerschon Yabusele Points Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 11.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 11.5 @ -115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Guerschon Yabusele has converted 6.0 shots made from the field per game over the last 5 games, 2.0 more than he's made in all games this season.
Guerschon Yabusele has attempted 5.4 3-point shots per game over the last 5 games, 1.5 more than he's attempted over the course of the season.
The matchup against the Heat is a good one for 3-pointers; the opposing team's starting PFs have shot for the 2nd-highest three rate in the NBA this year (43.4%).
The Philadelphia 76ers have played at the 7th-quickest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 6 games when playing at home.
As a team, the Philadelphia 76ers have been very successful at drawing fouls: 8th-best in the NBA this year, totaling 22.7 foul shots per game.

Favors Under

Out of all players in the league, Guerschon Yabusele comes in at the 82nd percentile for personal fouls, totaling a colossal 2.3 fouls per game while playing at home this year.
The Philadelphia 76ers are expected to experience a decrease in plays in this contest from being pitted against the least up-tempo pace-of-play team in the league this year (the Heat).
Offensive rebounds save possession and spark additional opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Philadelphia 76ers rank 8thworst in in the league with just 10.2 offensive rebounds per game this year.
The matchup vs. the Heat may be a hard one for getting to the foul line; the opposing team's starting PFs have attempted a lowly 1.8 foul shots per game over the last 10 games (2nd-least in the league).

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