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Guerschon Yabusele

Guerschon Yabusele Points
Player Prop - 2/5/2025

Philadelphia 76ers vs Miami Heat

 
 
 
Guerschon Yabusele Points Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (-125/-105).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 13.5 @ -120 before it was bet down to 11.5 @ -105.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Guerschon Yabusele has converted 66.2% of his field goals over the last 5 games at home, 13.3% higher than he's sunk in all games this year on his home court.
  • The matchup against Kel'el Ware is a good one for shots from behind the three-point arc; when squaring off against fellow starting Cs this year, they have sunk a massive 45.2% of their 3-point shots (97th percentile).
  • Guerschon Yabusele has successfully made 100.0% of his free throw attempts over the last 5 games, 25.1% higher than he's sunk in all games this year.
  • With respect to getting to the free-throw line, the 76ers's outstanding 22.8 free throw attempts per game places 4th-best in the NBA over the last 25 games.
  • Guerschon Yabusele is expected to see an increase in performance for all stats on account of holding the home court advantage in this matchup.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Out of all players in the league, Guerschon Yabusele rates in the 88th percentile for personal fouls, tallying a massive 2.5 fouls per game this year.
  • The Philadelphia 76ers have played at the least up-tempo pace in the NBA when playing at home this year.
  • The Philadelphia 76ers are expected to suffer a reduction in opportunities in this game from facing the 4th-slowest pace offense in the league this year (the Heat).
  • The 76ers have been the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore lead to fewer opportunities for scoring and assists).
  • The matchup against Kel'el Ware is a hard one for drawing fouls; when Ware is playing on the road and guarding opposing starting Cs this year, they have attempted just 2.7 free throws per game (3rd percentile).

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