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Grayson Allen

Grayson Allen Points
Player Prop - 4/11/2025

Phoenix Suns vs San Antonio Spurs

Grayson Allen Points Prop is currently Over/Under 13.5 (-108/-120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 12.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 13.5 @ -108.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Grayson Allen has attempted 10.2 shots per game over the last 5 games, 2.7 more than he's attempted over the course of the year.

Grayson Allen has converted 2.2 3-point shots per game when playing at home this year, ranking him in the 84th percentile among all players in the league.

When it comes to threes, the Phoenix Suns's exceptional 37.7% rate of drained threes rates 5th-strongest in the NBA this year.

The Spurs have played at the 6th-speediest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games without the home court advantage, which ought to increase possessions for the Suns.

Grayson Allen will likely see an increase in performance in all stat categories due to having the home court advantage in this matchup.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Grayson Allen has been on the court for a lowly 24.0 minutes per game this year, significantly less than his 33.2 minutes per game last year.

This year when they have the home court advantage, the opposing team's starting SFs have put up 8.6 points per game (fewest in the NBA) vs. the San Antonio Spurs, making this a difficult matchup for offensive productivity.

The 4th-most sluggish tempo home offense in the league over the last 25 games has been the Suns.

The Suns have been the 3rd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate extra chances for scoring and assists).

The faceoff with Julian Champagnie as it relates to getting to the charity stripe rates in the 3rd percentile for difficulty with the opposition's starting SFs attempting only 2.0 foul shots per game this year.

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