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Grayson Allen

Grayson Allen Points
Player Prop - 4/24/2023

Miami Heat vs Milwaukee Bucks

Grayson Allen Points Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-130/-105).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 11.5 @ -135 before it was bet down to 9.5 @ -105.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Grayson Allen has successfully made 2.8 3-pointers per game over the last 5 games on the road, 1.0 more than he's converted from beyond the arc overall this season while on the road.

The Milwaukee Bucks rank as the highest scoring offense in the league over the last 25 games.

The matchup against the Heat is a strong one for attempts from downtown; the opposing team's starting SGs have tallied the 30th-most three attempts per game in the NBA this year (6.9).

The Milwaukee Bucks have played at the 2nd-quickest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 20 games away from home.

The Heat have allowed the least offensive rebounds per game (9.0) in the NBA to opposing squads this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate further chances for scoring and assists).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Heat have played at the 2nd-most lethargic pace-of-play in the NBA this year, which ought to decrease possessions for the Bucks.

The Milwaukee Bucks check in as the 4th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 15 games when playing away from home (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate extra opportunities for scoring and assists).

The matchup against the Heat is a tough one for getting to the foul line; opposing starting SGs have attempted a mere 2.5 foul shots per game this year (14th-least in the NBA).

Grayson Allen will not enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing without the home court advantage generally lowers stat production in all stat categories.

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