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Grayson Allen

Grayson Allen Points
Player Prop - 4/19/2023

Milwaukee Bucks vs Miami Heat

Grayson Allen Points Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (-108/-112).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 9.5 @ -113 before it was bet up to 11.5 @ -108.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Grayson Allen has successfully made 39.5% of his three-point attempts this year, ranking him in the 88th percentile out of all players in the NBA.

The matchup vs. the Heat is a positive one for attempts from beyond the arc; the opposing team's starting SGs have averaged the 30th-most three attempts per game in the league this year (6.9).

The Milwaukee Bucks have played at the 3rd-quickest pace-of-play in the league over the last 25 games.

The Milwaukee Bucks have been the 6th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA while at home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

The Heat have given up the least offensive rebounds per game (9.0) in the league to opposing clubs this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate extra chances for scoring and assists).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Grayson Allen has committed 0.2 technical fouls per game over the last 10 games with the home court advantage, 0.2 higher than he's committed over the course of the year at home.

The Heat have played at the least up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 20 games without the home court advantage, which should reduce possessions for the Bucks.

As a team, the Milwaukee Bucks have been quite unsuccesful at getting to the free throw line of late: worst in the NBA over the last 5 games playing at home with a mere 15.6 foul shot attempts per game.

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