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Grayson Allen

Grayson Allen Points
Player Prop - 1/14/2023

Miami Heat vs Milwaukee Bucks

Grayson Allen Points Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (-122/+100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 10.5 @ -106 before it was bet up to 10.5 @ -122.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Grayson Allen has attempted 4.4 three-point shots per game while playing away from home this year, ranking him in the 75th percentile among all players in the NBA.

Grayson Allen has sunk 95.9% of his free throw attempts away from his home court this year, placing him in the 94th percentile among all players in the league.

The Milwaukee Bucks check in as the 6th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (which can also produce added chances for scoring and assists).

The Heat have allowed the most offensive rebounds per game (9.0) in the league to opposing teams this year (which also produce added chances for scoring and assists).

The matchup vs. the Heat is a good one for drawing fouls; the other team have attempted a monstrous 18.5 foul shots per game while playing at home this year (most in the NBA).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The matchup against the Heat is a challenging one for field goals; at home, opposing teams have compiled the 5th-lowest FG% in the NBA this year (48.1%).

The Milwaukee Bucks have been the 2nd-lowest scoring offense in the league away from their home court this year.

The Bucks have played at the 3rd-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA this year, which should lead to fewer plays for the Heat.

The matchup vs. the Heat is a tough one; they have allowed the 3rd-least points per game in the NBA to the opposing team's starting Cs this year (11.7).

Grayson Allen will not receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing away from your home stadium generally worsens stat production in all stat categories.

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