Grayson Allen Assists - Player Prop Bet 1/31/2024

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Grayson Allen

NBA · Player Props

Grayson Allen

G · Phoenix Suns

Assists

Brooklyn Nets vs Phoenix Suns · Jan 31, 2024

Updated Jan 31, 2024 11:57 PM EST

Analysis

Grayson Allen Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-111/-123).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ +112 before it was bet up to 2.5 @ -111.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Grayson Allen has put up 2.8 assists per game this year, ranking him in the 76th percentile -- among the league leaders by this metric in recent games.
Relative to last year's 27.5 rate, Grayson Allen's playing time has jumped this year to 33.0 minutes per game.
The 7th-speediest pace away offense in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Suns.
Over the last 10 games when they are on the road, opposing clubs have grabbed 8.7 offensive rebounds per game (3rd-fewest in the league) against the Brooklyn Nets (shortening possessions that could otherwise produce more chances for offense).

Favors Under

The Phoenix Suns will likely see a decline in plays in this game from facing the 3rd-most lethargic pace home team in the NBA over the last 20 games (the Brooklyn Nets).
Offensive rebounds preserve possession and lead to additional chances for scoring and assists, but the Phoenix Suns grade out 2ndworst in in the NBA with a mere 8.6 offensive rebounds per game over the last 15 games.
Grayson Allen will likely suffer a reduction in output in all stat categories due to being on the road in this matchup.

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