Grant Williams Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 2/23/2024

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Grant Williams

NBA · Player Props

Grant Williams

F · Charlotte Hornets

Rebounds

Golden State Warriors vs Charlotte Hornets · Feb 23, 2024

Updated Feb 24, 2024 3:09 AM EST

Analysis

Grant Williams Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (+110/-134).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 4.5 @ +116 before it was bet up to 4.5 @ +110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Grant Williams has put up 4.0 defensive boards per game over the last 5 games, 1.2 higher than he's put up in all games this season.
The Golden State Warriors have played at the 2nd-speediest pace in the league over the last 10 games, which should boost possessions for the Hornets.
Offensive rebounds preserve possession and result in further opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Charlotte Hornets grade out 7thbest in in the league away from home with 11.2 offensive boards per game this year.

Favors Under

Grant Williams has averaged 2.9 personal fouls per game on the road this year, ranking him in the 93rd percentile -- among the NBA's highest-fouling.
The Hornets have played at the 7th-most sluggish pace in the NBA over the last 20 games while playing away from home.
This year when they are the visiting team, opposing teams have grabbed 11.3 offensive boards per game (7th-most in the NBA) vs. the Golden State Warriors (preserving possessions that can create added chances for offense).
Grant Williams will not enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing away from your home city tends to decrease player production for all stats.

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