Grant Williams Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 2/12/2024

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Grant Williams

NBA · Player Props

Grant Williams

F · Charlotte Hornets

Rebounds

Charlotte Hornets vs Indiana Pacers · Feb 12, 2024

Updated Feb 13, 2024 2:09 AM EST

Analysis

Grant Williams Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-130/-100).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 3.5 @ +115 before it was bet down to 3.5 @ -100.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Grant Williams has tallied 5.3 defensive boards per game at home since the start of last season, ranking him in the 91st percentile -- among the league's best by this metric.
The Indiana Pacers have played at the 2nd-quickest pace in the NBA this year, which ought to lead to increased plays for the Hornets.
Away from their home court, the Indiana Pacers have allowed the 10th-least offensive rebounds per game (9.9) in the NBA to opposing teams over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate further opportunities for scoring and assists).
Grant Williams will possess the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing with the home court advantage tends to raise stat production in all facets of the game.

Favors Under

Grant Williams has accumulated 2.9 personal fouls per game this year, placing him among the most-whistled players in the NBA (93rd percentile).
The 7th-most sluggish tempo home team in the NBA over the last 20 games has been the Charlotte Hornets.
The Charlotte Hornets have been the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate additional chances for scoring and assists).

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