Grant Williams Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 2/5/2024

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Grant Williams

NBA · Player Props

Grant Williams

F · Dallas Mavericks

Rebounds

Philadelphia 76ers vs Dallas Mavericks · Feb 5, 2024

Updated Feb 5, 2024 11:52 PM EST

Analysis

Grant Williams Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-105/-127).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 3.5 @ +100 before it was bet up to 3.5 @ -105.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Mavericks have played at the 4th-most up-tempo pace in the NBA as the road team this year.

Favors Under

Grant Williams has averaged 2.6 personal fouls per game without the home court advantage this year, placing him in the 84th percentile -- among the NBA's most foul-prone.
The Philadelphia 76ers have played at the 7th-most lethargic pace in the NBA over the last 10 games, which ought to lead to fewer plays for the Mavericks.
Offensive rebounds save possession and result in bonus chances for scoring and assists, but the Mavericks grade out 3rdworst in in the league with a mere 7.8 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games.
Over the last 15 games when they are away from home, the other team has nabbed 13.3 offensive rebounds per game (highest in the NBA) against the 76ers (retaining possessions that can generate additional opportunities for offense).
Grant Williams will not enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing without the home court advantage generally reduces player production for all stats.

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